Forecasting probabilistic elements of TAF based on COSMO-2 model

In aviation meteorology, a Terminal Airport Forecast (TAF) is a concise weather forecasting message aimed at airmen and airline managers, which contains information on very local future weather conditions. These reports are used worldwide and play a crucial role in flight planning, since adverse meteorological conditions can cause great disruptions, affecting the efficiency and safety of the airline traffic. Elements such as low visibility on the runway or strong gusts of wind have to be accurately predicted in order to optimize the traffic.